Patrick Mahomes headshot

Patrick Mahomes Rush Yards Prop

KCQBRush Yards
@ SEA · Oct 25

FastStat Projection

19.2

Patrick Mahomes rush yards at Seattle Seahawks

Model estimate adjusted for the matchup — not a sportsbook line.

Looking for the best Patrick Mahomes Rush Yards prop bets today? Patrick Mahomes averages 11.4 Rush Yards per game this season — a reference point, not a sportsbook line; see the live DraftKings and FanDuel over/under odds below. Looking at recent trends, Patrick Mahomes has topped that season average in 60% of their last 5 games of the 2026 Season. Today, Patrick Mahomes plays at the Seattle Seahawks. This is a neutral matchup, as they face the Seahawks #22 defense against QB rush yards. FastStat's model projects 19.2 Rush Yards for Patrick Mahomes in this game — a matchup-adjusted estimate, not a sportsbook line. Check out the full game log, hit rates, and live odds below to make your prediction.

Season Average

11.4

Rush Yards per game

Season

Patrick Mahomes Rush Yards Hit Rate (Last 5 & Last 10 Games) vs 11.4 Rush Yards

Last 5 Games

60%

3/5 games

Last 5 Games

60%

3/5 games

Patrick Mahomes Rush Yards Trend (Last 5 Games)

How has Patrick Mahomes performed vs SEA?

Avg: 11.4 Rush Yards
DateOpponentRush Yardsvs Avg
Week 6LAC16
Week 4LV0
Week 3MIA1
Week 2IND17
Week 1DEN23

Data updated as of October 22, 2026. Green = above season average, Red = below season average.

Patrick Mahomes Rush Yards Matchup vs SEA: Is the Prop a Good Bet?

Matchup: @ SEA

#22 defense against QB rush yards — neutral matchup

18.8 yds/gm · 16.0 L3

#22

What is Patrick Mahomes's Rush Yards prop line?

Frequently Asked Questions

What does Patrick Mahomes average for Rush Yards this season?

Patrick Mahomes averages 11.4 Rush Yards per game this season. That's a starting point, not a sportsbook line — check the live over/under odds from DraftKings and FanDuel on this page to build your parlay.

How does Patrick Mahomes matchup against the Seattle Seahawks?

Patrick Mahomes faces the Seahawks #22 defense against QB rush yards today. This is a neutral matchup. See the full game log to view Patrick Mahomes's history.

What is Patrick Mahomes's hit rate for Rush Yards?

Patrick Mahomes has cleared their 11.4 Rush Yards season average in 60% of their last 5 games (3/5 games above average).

Explore all NFL props, build parlays, and analyze matchups with our full tool.

Analyze more NFL props →

Intended for adult users 21+ | Sports betting is only legal in jurisdictions where permitted by law | If you have a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit ncpgambling.org (opens in new tab)

Statistical data provided for informational purposes only. Not gambling advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Odds are updated approximately every 15 minutes and may not reflect current lines.

© 2026 FastStat. All rights reserved. NFL, NBA, MLB, WNBA, and team logos are property of the National Football League, the National Basketball Association, Major League Baseball, the Women's National Basketball Association, and their respective teams. DraftKings and FanDuel names and logos are property of their respective owners. FastStat is not affiliated with or endorsed by DraftKings or FanDuel.