Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards Prop
FastStat Projection
240.2
Patrick Mahomes passing yards at Seattle Seahawks
Model estimate adjusted for the matchup — not a sportsbook line.
Looking for the best Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards prop bets today? Patrick Mahomes averages 261.8 Passing Yards per game this season — a reference point, not a sportsbook line; see the live DraftKings and FanDuel over/under odds below. Looking at recent trends, Patrick Mahomes has topped that season average in 40% of their last 5 games of the 2026 Season. Today, Patrick Mahomes plays at the Seattle Seahawks. This is a tough matchup, as they face the Seahawks #1 defense against passing yards. FastStat's model projects 240.2 Passing Yards for Patrick Mahomes in this game — a matchup-adjusted estimate, not a sportsbook line. Check out the full game log, hit rates, and live odds below to make your prediction.
Season Average
261.8
Passing Yards per game
Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards Hit Rate (Last 5 & Last 10 Games) vs 261.8 Passing Yards
Last 5 Games
40%
2/5 games
Last 5 Games
40%
2/5 games
Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards Trend (Last 5 Games)
How has Patrick Mahomes performed vs SEA?
Avg: 261.8 Passing Yards| Date | Opponent | Location | Passing Yards | vs Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 | LAC | Home | 272 | |
| Week 4 | LV | Away | 225 | |
| Week 3 | MIA | Away | 246 | |
| Week 2 | IND | Home | 382 | |
| Week 1 | DEN | Home | 184 |
Data updated as of October 22, 2026. Green = above season average, Red = below season average.
Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards Matchup vs SEA: Is the Prop a Good Bet?
Matchup: @ SEA
#1 defense against passing yards — tough matchup
156.8 yds/gm · 161.7 L3
What is Patrick Mahomes's Passing Yards prop line?
Frequently Asked Questions
What does Patrick Mahomes average for Passing Yards this season?
Patrick Mahomes averages 261.8 Passing Yards per game this season. That's a starting point, not a sportsbook line — check the live over/under odds from DraftKings and FanDuel on this page to build your parlay.
How does Patrick Mahomes matchup against the Seattle Seahawks?
Patrick Mahomes faces the Seahawks #1 defense against passing yards today. This is a tough matchup. See the full game log to view Patrick Mahomes's history.
What is Patrick Mahomes's hit rate for Passing Yards?
Patrick Mahomes has cleared their 261.8 Passing Yards season average in 40% of their last 5 games (2/5 games above average).
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