Best NFL Player Props Tonight
· Ranked by hit rate over the last 10 games
Looking for the best NFL player props to bet tonight? FastStat surfaces the highest-hit-rate over/unders across points, rebounds, assists, strikeouts, hits, and more — filtered to props with at least a 70% hit rate over the last 10 games. Each pick links to a full analysis page with game logs, matchup context, and live odds.
Top NFL Props for Thursday, October 22, 2026
- #1
Rome Odunze · CHI vs NE
Over 1.5 Receptions
100%10/10 L10 - #2
Luther Burden III · CHI vs NE
Over 2.5 Receptions
100%10/10 L10 - #3
A.J. Brown · NE @ CHI
Over 2.5 Receptions
90%9/10 L10 - #4
Kalif Raymond · CHI vs NE
Over 1.5 Receptions
80%8/10 L10 - #5
D'Andre Swift · CHI vs NE
Over 1.5 Receptions
70%7/10 L10 - #6
Hunter Henry · NE @ CHI
Over 25.5 Rec Yds
70%7/10 L10 - #7
Hunter Henry · NE @ CHI
Over 2.5 Receptions
70%7/10 L10 - #8
D'Andre Swift · CHI vs NE
Over 44.5 Rush Yds
70%7/10 L10 - #9
Luther Burden III · CHI vs NE
Over 41.5 Rec Yds
70%7/10 L10 - #10
Rome Odunze · CHI vs NE
Over 42.5 Rec Yds
70%7/10 L10 - #11
A.J. Brown · NE @ CHI
Over 40.5 Rec Yds
70%7/10 L10 - #12
Caleb Williams · CHI vs NE
Over 241.5 Pass Yds
70%7/10 L10 - #13
Colston Loveland · CHI vs NE
Over 30.5 Rec Yds
70%7/10 L10 - #14
Colston Loveland · CHI vs NE
Over 3.5 Receptions
70%7/10 L10 - #15
Rhamondre Stevenson · NE @ CHI
Over 2.5 Receptions
70%7/10 L10 - #16
Rhamondre Stevenson · NE @ CHI
Over 42.5 Rush Yds
70%7/10 L10
How are the best NFL props chosen?
Each prop is ranked by its recent hit rate — the percentage of the player's last 10 games in which they exceeded a line derived from the player's season mean. Only props clearing a 70% hit rate threshold qualify, and ties break on the FastStat confidence score (which blends recent trend, opponent matchup, and situational factors). For the full methodology, open any individual prop page.