Patrick Mahomes Passing TDs Prop
FastStat Projection
1.4
Patrick Mahomes passing tds at Seattle Seahawks
Model estimate adjusted for the matchup — not a sportsbook line.
Looking for the best Patrick Mahomes Passing TDs prop bets today? Patrick Mahomes averages 1.8 Passing TDs per game this season — a reference point, not a sportsbook line; see the live DraftKings and FanDuel over/under odds below. Looking at recent trends, Patrick Mahomes has topped that season average in 80% of their last 5 games of the 2026 Season. Today, Patrick Mahomes plays at the Seattle Seahawks. FastStat's model projects 1.4 Passing TDs for Patrick Mahomes in this game — a matchup-adjusted estimate, not a sportsbook line. Check out the full game log, hit rates, and live odds below to make your prediction.
Season Average
1.8
Passing TDs per game
Patrick Mahomes Passing TDs Hit Rate (Last 5 & Last 10 Games) vs 1.8 Passing TDs
Last 5 Games
80%
4/5 games
Last 5 Games
80%
4/5 games
Patrick Mahomes Passing TDs Trend (Last 5 Games)
How has Patrick Mahomes performed vs SEA?
Avg: 1.8 Passing TDs| Date | Opponent | Location | Passing TDs | vs Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 | LAC | Home | 0 | |
| Week 4 | LV | Away | 2 | |
| Week 3 | MIA | Away | 2 | |
| Week 2 | IND | Home | 3 | |
| Week 1 | DEN | Home | 2 |
Data updated as of October 22, 2026. Green = above season average, Red = below season average.
Patrick Mahomes Passing TDs Matchup vs SEA: Is the Prop a Good Bet?
Matchup: @ SEA
Matchup data not available.
What is Patrick Mahomes's Passing TDs prop line?
Frequently Asked Questions
What does Patrick Mahomes average for Passing TDs this season?
Patrick Mahomes averages 1.8 Passing TDs per game this season. That's a starting point, not a sportsbook line — check the live over/under odds from DraftKings and FanDuel on this page to build your parlay.
How does Patrick Mahomes matchup against the Seattle Seahawks?
Patrick Mahomes faces the Seahawks average defense today. This is a neutral matchup. See the full game log to view Patrick Mahomes's history.
What is Patrick Mahomes's hit rate for Passing TDs?
Patrick Mahomes has cleared their 1.8 Passing TDs season average in 80% of their last 5 games (4/5 games above average).
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