Sam Darnold Passing Yards Prop
FastStat Projection
237.9
Sam Darnold passing yards vs Kansas City Chiefs
Model estimate adjusted for the matchup — not a sportsbook line.
Looking for the best Sam Darnold Passing Yards prop bets today? Sam Darnold is averaging 255.0 Passing Yards per game through 4 games this season — a small sample and a reference point, not a sportsbook line; see the live DraftKings and FanDuel over/under odds below. Looking at recent trends, Sam Darnold has topped that season average in 40% of their last 5 games of the 2026 Season. Today, Sam Darnold plays vs the Kansas City Chiefs. This is a neutral matchup, as they face the Chiefs #9 defense against passing yards. FastStat's model projects 237.9 Passing Yards for Sam Darnold in this game — a matchup-adjusted estimate, not a sportsbook line. Check out the full game log, hit rates, and live odds below to make your prediction.
Average So Far
255.0
Passing Yards per game
Based on 4 games of the 2026 season so far.
Sam Darnold Passing Yards Hit Rate (Last 5 & Last 10 Games) vs 255.0 (4G) Passing Yards
Last 5 Games
40%
2/5 games
Last 5 Games
40%
2/5 games
Sam Darnold Passing Yards Trend (Last 5 Games)
How has Sam Darnold performed vs KC?
Avg: 255.0 (4G) Passing Yards| Date | Opponent | Location | Passing Yards | vs Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 | DEN | Away | 278 | |
| Week 5 | SF | Home | 195 | |
| Week 4 | LAC | Home | 168 | |
| Week 3 | WAS | Away | 379 | |
| Week 1 | NE | Home | 13 |
Data updated as of October 22, 2026. Green = above season average, Red = below season average.
Sam Darnold Passing Yards Matchup vs KC: Is the Prop a Good Bet?
Matchup: vs KC
#9 defense against passing yards — neutral matchup
224.0 yds/gm · 259.7 L3
What is Sam Darnold's Passing Yards prop line?
Frequently Asked Questions
What does Sam Darnold average for Passing Yards this season?
Sam Darnold is averaging 255.0 Passing Yards per game through 4 games this season — an early-season sample, not a full-season average, and not a sportsbook line. Check the live over/under odds from DraftKings and FanDuel on this page to build your parlay.
How does Sam Darnold matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs?
Sam Darnold faces the Chiefs #9 defense against passing yards today. This is a neutral matchup. See the full game log to view Sam Darnold's history.
What is Sam Darnold's hit rate for Passing Yards?
Sam Darnold has cleared their 255.0 Passing Yards season average in 40% of their last 5 games (2/5 games above average).
Related Sam Darnold & Passing Yards Prop Bets
Explore all NFL props, build parlays, and analyze matchups with our full tool.
Analyze more NFL props →