Sam Darnold Passing TDs Prop
FastStat Projection
1.5
Sam Darnold passing tds vs Kansas City Chiefs
Model estimate adjusted for the matchup — not a sportsbook line.
Looking for the best Sam Darnold Passing TDs prop bets today? Sam Darnold is averaging 1.8 Passing TDs per game through 4 games this season — a small sample and a reference point, not a sportsbook line; see the live DraftKings and FanDuel over/under odds below. Looking at recent trends, Sam Darnold has topped that season average in 40% of their last 5 games of the 2026 Season. Today, Sam Darnold plays vs the Kansas City Chiefs. FastStat's model projects 1.5 Passing TDs for Sam Darnold in this game — a matchup-adjusted estimate, not a sportsbook line. Check out the full game log, hit rates, and live odds below to make your prediction.
Average So Far
1.8
Passing TDs per game
Based on 4 games of the 2026 season so far.
Sam Darnold Passing TDs Hit Rate (Last 5 & Last 10 Games) vs 1.8 (4G) Passing TDs
Last 5 Games
40%
2/5 games
Last 5 Games
40%
2/5 games
Sam Darnold Passing TDs Trend (Last 5 Games)
How has Sam Darnold performed vs KC?
Avg: 1.8 (4G) Passing TDs| Date | Opponent | Location | Passing TDs | vs Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 | DEN | Away | 0 | |
| Week 5 | SF | Home | 1 | |
| Week 4 | LAC | Home | 2 | |
| Week 3 | WAS | Away | 4 | |
| Week 1 | NE | Home | 0 |
Data updated as of October 22, 2026. Green = above season average, Red = below season average.
Sam Darnold Passing TDs Matchup vs KC: Is the Prop a Good Bet?
Matchup: vs KC
Matchup data not available.
What is Sam Darnold's Passing TDs prop line?
Frequently Asked Questions
What does Sam Darnold average for Passing TDs this season?
Sam Darnold is averaging 1.8 Passing TDs per game through 4 games this season — an early-season sample, not a full-season average, and not a sportsbook line. Check the live over/under odds from DraftKings and FanDuel on this page to build your parlay.
How does Sam Darnold matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs?
Sam Darnold faces the Chiefs average defense today. This is a neutral matchup. See the full game log to view Sam Darnold's history.
What is Sam Darnold's hit rate for Passing TDs?
Sam Darnold has cleared their 1.8 Passing TDs season average in 40% of their last 5 games (2/5 games above average).
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