Luther Burden III Receptions Prop
FastStat Projection
4.5
Luther Burden III receptions vs New England Patriots
Model estimate adjusted for the matchup — not a sportsbook line.
Looking for the best Luther Burden III Receptions prop bets today? Luther Burden III averages 5.2 Receptions per game this season — a reference point, not a sportsbook line; see the live DraftKings and FanDuel over/under odds below. Looking at recent trends, Luther Burden III has topped that season average in 33% of their last 6 games of the 2026 Season. Today, Luther Burden III plays vs the New England Patriots. This is a neutral matchup, as they face the Patriots #16 defense against completions. FastStat's model projects 4.5 Receptions for Luther Burden III in this game — a matchup-adjusted estimate, not a sportsbook line. Check out the full game log, hit rates, and live odds below to make your prediction.
Season Average
5.2
Receptions per game
Luther Burden III Receptions Hit Rate (Last 5 & Last 10 Games) vs 5.2 Receptions
Last 5 Games
40%
2/5 games
Last 6 Games
33%
2/6 games
Luther Burden III Receptions Trend (Last 6 Games)
How has Luther Burden III performed vs NE?
Avg: 5.2 Receptions| Date | Opponent | Location | Receptions | vs Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 | ATL | Away | 8 | |
| Week 5 | GB | Away | 4 | |
| Week 4 | NYJ | Home | 4 | |
| Week 3 | PHI | Home | 7 | |
| Week 2 | MIN | Home | 3 | |
| Week 1 | CAR | Away | 5 |
Data updated as of October 22, 2026. Green = above season average, Red = below season average.
Luther Burden III Receptions Matchup vs NE: Is the Prop a Good Bet?
Matchup: vs NE
#16 defense against completions — neutral matchup
21.2 comp/gm · 22.7 L3
What is Luther Burden III's Receptions prop line?
Frequently Asked Questions
What does Luther Burden III average for Receptions this season?
Luther Burden III averages 5.2 Receptions per game this season. That's a starting point, not a sportsbook line — check the live over/under odds from DraftKings and FanDuel on this page to build your parlay.
How does Luther Burden III matchup against the New England Patriots?
Luther Burden III faces the Patriots #16 defense against completions today. This is a neutral matchup. See the full game log to view Luther Burden III's history.
What is Luther Burden III's hit rate for Receptions?
Luther Burden III has cleared their 5.2 Receptions season average in 33% of their last 6 games (2/6 games above average).
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