Aaron Nesmith Points Prop
FastStat Projection
11.3
Aaron Nesmith points vs Philadelphia 76ers
Model estimate adjusted for the matchup — not a sportsbook line.
Looking for the best Aaron Nesmith Points prop bets today? Aaron Nesmith averages 11.7 Points per game this season — a reference point, not a sportsbook line; see the live DraftKings and FanDuel over/under odds below. Looking at recent trends, Aaron Nesmith has topped that season average in 67% of their last 3 games. Today, Aaron Nesmith plays vs the Philadelphia 76ers. This is a tough matchup, as they face the 76ers #10 points defense against Guards. FastStat's model projects 11.3 Points for Aaron Nesmith in this game — a matchup-adjusted estimate, not a sportsbook line. Check out the full game log, hit rates, and live odds below to make your prediction.
Season Average
11.7
Points per game
Aaron Nesmith Points Hit Rate (Last 5 & Last 10 Games) vs 11.7 Points
Last 5 Games
Not enough data
Last 3 Games
67%
2/3 games
Aaron Nesmith Points Trend (Last 3 Games)
How has Aaron Nesmith performed vs PHI?
Avg: 11.7 Points| Date | Opponent | Location | Points | vs Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | Away | 13 | ||
| BKN | Away | 13 | ||
| DAL | Home | 9 |
Data updated as of October 28, 2026. Green = above season average, Red = below season average.
Aaron Nesmith Points Matchup vs PHI: Is the Prop a Good Bet?
Matchup: vs PHI
#10 points defense against Guards — tough matchup
What is Aaron Nesmith's Points prop line?
Frequently Asked Questions
What does Aaron Nesmith average for Points this season?
Aaron Nesmith averages 11.7 Points per game this season. That's a starting point, not a sportsbook line — check the live over/under odds from DraftKings and FanDuel on this page to build your parlay.
How does Aaron Nesmith matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers?
Aaron Nesmith faces the 76ers #10 points defense against Guards today. This is a tough matchup. See the full game log to view Aaron Nesmith's history.
What is Aaron Nesmith's hit rate for Points?
Aaron Nesmith has cleared their 11.7 Points season average in 67% of their last 3 games (2/3 games above average).
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