Best NBA Player Props Tonight

· Ranked by hit rate over the last 10 games

Looking for the best NBA player props to bet tonight? FastStat surfaces the highest-hit-rate over/unders across points, rebounds, assists, strikeouts, hits, and more — filtered to props with at least a 70% hit rate over the last 10 games. Each pick links to a full analysis page with game logs, matchup context, and live odds.

Top NBA Props for Wednesday, October 28, 2026

  1. #1

    Draymond Green · GSW @ MIN

    Over 5.5 AST

    100%
    10/10 L10
  2. #2

    Scottie Barnes · TOR vs ORL

    Over 4.5 AST

    90%
    9/10 L10
  3. #3

    Luka Dončić · LAL @ LAC

    Over 6.5 AST

    80%
    8/10 L10
  4. #4

    LaMelo Ball · MIN vs GSW

    Over 5.5 AST

    80%
    8/10 L10
  5. #5

    Cade Cunningham · DET vs CHA

    Over 7.5 AST

    80%
    8/10 L10
  6. #6

    Stephen Curry · GSW @ MIN

    Over 2.5 3PM

    80%
    8/10 L10
  7. #7

    Leonard Miller · CHI vs NYK

    Over 5.5 REB

    80%
    8/10 L10
  8. #8

    Brice Sensabaugh · UTA vs SAS

    Over 1.5 3PM

    80%
    8/10 L10
  9. #9

    Jamal Murray · DEN @ NOP

    Over 4.5 AST

    70%
    7/10 L10
  10. #10

    Nikola Jokić · DEN @ NOP

    Over 7.5 AST

    70%
    7/10 L10
  11. #11

    Duncan Robinson · DET vs CHA

    Over 3.5 3PM

    70%
    7/10 L10
  12. #12

    Davion Mitchell · MIA @ ATL

    Over 5.5 AST

    70%
    7/10 L10
  13. #13

    Paolo Banchero · ORL @ TOR

    Over 5.5 AST

    70%
    7/10 L10
  14. #14

    Naz Reid · CHA @ DET

    Over 2.5 3PM

    70%
    7/10 L10
  15. #15

    Austin Reaves · LAL @ LAC

    Over 5.5 AST

    70%
    7/10 L10
  16. #16

    Tyler Herro · MIL vs HOU

    Over 2.5 3PM

    70%
    7/10 L10
  17. #17

    Jalen Brunson · NYK @ CHI

    Over 22.5 PTS

    70%
    7/10 L10
  18. #18

    Joel Embiid · PHI @ IND

    Over 4.5 AST

    70%
    7/10 L10
  19. #19

    LaMelo Ball · MIN vs GSW

    Over 2.5 3PM

    70%
    7/10 L10
  20. #20

    Dejounte Murray · NOP vs DEN

    Over 5.5 AST

    70%
    7/10 L10

How are the best NBA props chosen?

Each prop is ranked by its recent hit rate — the percentage of the player's last 10 games in which they exceeded a line derived from the player's season mean. Only props clearing a 70% hit rate threshold qualify, and ties break on the FastStat confidence score (which blends recent trend, opponent matchup, and situational factors). For the full methodology, open any individual prop page.

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Statistical data provided for informational purposes only. Not gambling advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Odds are updated approximately every 15 minutes and may not reflect current lines.

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