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Best NBA Player Props Tonight
· Ranked by hit rate over the last 10 games
Looking for the best NBA player props to bet tonight? FastStat surfaces the highest-hit-rate over/unders across points, rebounds, assists, strikeouts, hits, and more — filtered to props with at least a 70% hit rate over the last 10 games. Each pick links to a full analysis page with game logs, matchup context, and live odds.
Top NBA Props for Wednesday, October 28, 2026
- #1
Draymond Green · GSW @ MIN
Over 5.5 AST
100%10/10 L10 - #2
Scottie Barnes · TOR vs ORL
Over 4.5 AST
90%9/10 L10 - #3
Luka Dončić · LAL @ LAC
Over 6.5 AST
80%8/10 L10 - #4
LaMelo Ball · MIN vs GSW
Over 5.5 AST
80%8/10 L10 - #5
Cade Cunningham · DET vs CHA
Over 7.5 AST
80%8/10 L10 - #6
Stephen Curry · GSW @ MIN
Over 2.5 3PM
80%8/10 L10 - #7
Leonard Miller · CHI vs NYK
Over 5.5 REB
80%8/10 L10 - #8
Brice Sensabaugh · UTA vs SAS
Over 1.5 3PM
80%8/10 L10 - #9
Jamal Murray · DEN @ NOP
Over 4.5 AST
70%7/10 L10 - #10
Nikola Jokić · DEN @ NOP
Over 7.5 AST
70%7/10 L10 - #11
Duncan Robinson · DET vs CHA
Over 3.5 3PM
70%7/10 L10 - #12
Davion Mitchell · MIA @ ATL
Over 5.5 AST
70%7/10 L10 - #13
Paolo Banchero · ORL @ TOR
Over 5.5 AST
70%7/10 L10 - #14
Naz Reid · CHA @ DET
Over 2.5 3PM
70%7/10 L10 - #15
Austin Reaves · LAL @ LAC
Over 5.5 AST
70%7/10 L10 - #16
Tyler Herro · MIL vs HOU
Over 2.5 3PM
70%7/10 L10 - #17
Jalen Brunson · NYK @ CHI
Over 22.5 PTS
70%7/10 L10 - #18
Joel Embiid · PHI @ IND
Over 4.5 AST
70%7/10 L10 - #19
LaMelo Ball · MIN vs GSW
Over 2.5 3PM
70%7/10 L10 - #20
Dejounte Murray · NOP vs DEN
Over 5.5 AST
70%7/10 L10
How are the best NBA props chosen?
Each prop is ranked by its recent hit rate — the percentage of the player's last 10 games in which they exceeded a line derived from the player's season mean. Only props clearing a 70% hit rate threshold qualify, and ties break on the FastStat confidence score (which blends recent trend, opponent matchup, and situational factors). For the full methodology, open any individual prop page.